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About Edouard Plus

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So far Edouard Plus has created 96 blog entries.

Monthly scoreboard, France and Canada on a slippery slope?

Last month, our monthly scoreboard took a closer look at North African countries and pointed out that our opinion on Algeria (EE-, with negative short-term and long-term outlooks) was likely to be downgraded in the coming months, due to the fiscal and economic burden of low oil price in the country. Governance is the pivotal […]

By |March 14th, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , , |

Japan and Russia, an intricate relationship

Today, Japan is commemorating the fifth anniversary of the earthquake (magnitude 9.0 on Richter scale) and related tsunami that triggered the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident and left more than 18 000 dead or missing. The spewed radiation forced the emergency evacuation of more than 160 000 people, most of which were not able to return to their […]

By |March 11th, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , , |

Germany in the rut of the Energiewende?

In 2011, in the wake of the Fukushima Daiichi accident, the German government announced its new energy reform: the Energiewende (more than a transition, it is almost a revolution). The corner stone of that innovative initiative was the nuclear phase-out by 2022 and a significant development of the renewable energy vectors in the power mix […]

By |March 10th, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , , , , |

Lowering projections on low oil prices: a sound decision?

In its February release of its Short-term energy outlook, the American Energy Information Administration decided to revise downward its expectations for the global Brent crude contract for this year and for 2016. The new projections are now USD 34.28/barrel in 2016 and USD 40.09/barrel in 2017 (from the previous USD 37.00/barrel and USD 50.00/barrel). It […]

By |March 9th, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , |

Defense wins championship, Energy makes presidents?

The resignation of Thomas Piquemal was yesterday’s news, but it seems that leaving the office was also this week energy sector’s fashion as we learnt a few hours later that Tomas Gonzalez, Colombia’s Mines and Energy Minister, was handing his letter too. However, the reasons of his departure were significantly different as energy generation problems […]

By |March 8th, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , , |

The Monday effect you don’t expect

“Smell that? You smell that? (What?) Napalm, son. Nothing else in the world smells like that. I love the smell of napalm in the morning”… This line from the Lieutenant Colonel Bill Kilgore in Apocalypse Now (1979) might have crossed the mind of many energy observers this morning. Reading the news, the first order of […]

By |March 7th, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , , , |

It’s getting hot in here, ain’t it?

We are only in early March and the news is already on the screens: 2016 is smashing heat records… According to NASA, January 2016 was the most abnormally hot month in history. And figures to be released for February should not make it any better. The satellite measurements’ data compilation (by Eric Holthaus, a specialist […]

By |March 4th, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , |

Climate change, a cereal killer? a serial killer?

A new study was published today by Dr Marco Springmann from the University of Oxford assessing the potential death toll related to climate change. This is the first try ever to actually see what the impact of climate change could be on agriculture and therefore on food supply. The underlying model is the International Model […]

By |March 3rd, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , , , |

China, no fear of downgrades…

There might be a time when you grow up and you are not afraid of your parents’ punishments anymore. And likely the same goes for countries and markets. This is what is probably happening with China (the former child in that story) and credit rating agencies (the parental authority). Indeed, Moody’s decided today to downgrade […]

By |March 2nd, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , |

Make Japan great again?

A major debt and ridiculous natural resources. This is roughly the picture regarding Japan. And this has been going on for years. The Japanese fast-growth episode that made it one of the world top players was a miracle. Or something close. And today, this model seems to have touched its limits. Japan is in recession, […]

By |March 1st, 2016|Categories: Analyst's Insight|Tags: , , , , , |